Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000174 0.000193 0.000214 0.000237 0.000264 0.000293 0.000328
2025-02-16 0.000135 0.000162 0.000194 0.000234 0.000283 0.000343 0.000420
2025-02-23 0.000112 0.000142 0.000180 0.000231 0.000298 0.000386 0.000508
2025-03-02 0.000098 0.000130 0.000172 0.000232 0.000317 0.000432 0.000606
2025-03-09 0.000087 0.000120 0.000165 0.000232 0.000331 0.000474 0.000702
2025-03-16 0.000076 0.000107 0.000152 0.000222 0.000329 0.000491 0.000763
2025-03-23 0.000069 0.000101 0.000148 0.000223 0.000343 0.000534 0.000868
2025-03-30 0.000066 0.000099 0.000149 0.000231 0.000369 0.000597 0.001017
2025-04-06 0.000060 0.000092 0.000141 0.000227 0.000373 0.000624 0.001106
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000083 0.000131 0.000215 0.000365 0.000628 0.001154
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000080 0.000129 0.000217 0.000378 0.000672 0.001283
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000078 0.000129 0.000222 0.000399 0.000733 0.001456
2025-05-04 0.000044 0.000073 0.000123 0.000218 0.000402 0.000763 0.001573
2025-05-11 0.000041 0.000070 0.000121 0.000219 0.000417 0.000816 0.001753
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000067 0.000117 0.000218 0.000424 0.000857 0.001912
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000065 0.000115 0.000219 0.000439 0.000915 0.002122
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000062 0.000112 0.000219 0.000449 0.000965 0.002323
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000057 0.000106 0.000209 0.000440 0.000967 0.002402
2025-06-15 0.000030 0.000055 0.000104 0.000210 0.000453 0.001026 0.002643
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000055 0.000106 0.000218 0.000483 0.001128 0.003029
2025-06-29 0.000028 0.000052 0.000102 0.000214 0.000482 0.001156 0.003206
2025-07-06 0.000025 0.000048 0.000095 0.000203 0.000467 0.001142 0.003255
2025-07-13 0.000024 0.000047 0.000094 0.000204 0.000480 0.001207 0.003562